Last updated December 03, 2024
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Moeller | 26 | 15 | 72.2% | 1 | 33.8 | 1 |
| 2 | Luke Phelan | 25 | 13 | 65.8% | 2 | 31.6 | 2 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 22 | 14 | 59.5% | 3 | 29.1 | 3 |
| 4 | Matt Hogel | 19 | 14 | 51.4% | 4 | 26.1 | 5 |
| 4 | Andrew Batchelor | 19 | 14 | 51.4% | 4 | 26.7 | 4 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 17 | 15 | 47.2% | 6 | 24.3 | 6 |
| 6 | Steve Creaser | 17 | 15 | 47.2% | 6 | 23.7 | 7 |
| 8 | Mike Thorne | 16 | 15 | 44.4% | 8 | 23.6 | 8 |
| 9 | Gavin Gray | 15 | 15 | 41.7% | 9 | 22.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Nick Boucher | 13 | 15 | 36.1% | 10 | 21.1 | 10 |
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 10 | 13.4 | LA | 0.64 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 11.3 | CLE | 0.72 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 7 | 9.1 | ARI | 0.41 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 9 | 11.9 | DET | 0.38 |
| Denver Broncos | 8 | 9.7 | NA | |
| Houston Texans | 8 | 10.0 | NA | |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 10 | 12.5 | ATL | 0.7 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 10.7 | NA | |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 5.9 | SF | 0.38 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 8 | 10.3 | NA | |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 8.8 | MIN | 0.3 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 7.6 | CHI | 0.62 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11 | 13.9 | LAC | 0.64 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 6 | 8.2 | NA | |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 4.0 | TB | 0.28 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 13.6 | CAR | 0.85 |
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 7.4 | NYJ | 0.7 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 3.3 | NO | 0.33 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 10.7 | KC | 0.36 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 6.6 | CIN | 0.31 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 6.4 | NYG | 0.67 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 11 | 14.1 | GB | 0.62 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 5.0 | JAX | 0.62 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 4.5 | TEN | 0.38 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 6 | 9.0 | SEA | 0.59 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 8.3 | BUF | 0.36 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 5.2 | MIA | 0.3 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 9.3 | LV | 0.72 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 6.8 | DAL | 0.69 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 5.0 | PIT | 0.28 |
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 10 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 7 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 9 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 2 |
| Houston Texans | 8 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| Denver Broncos | 8 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 4 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 18 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 10 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 6 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 2 | 11 | -6 | 15 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| Washington Commanders | 8 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 13 | 7 | -2 | 10 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 9 | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 11 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 15 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 6 | 10 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 12 | 8 | -5 | 12 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 6 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 15 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 19 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 6 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 3 |